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PS Sakiet Eddaier vs Gafsa

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ben Ameur H.
50' Event
Jihinaoui H.
69' Event
Laajili M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between PS Sakiet Eddaier and Gafsa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PS Sakiet Eddaier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
PS Sakiet Eddaier
35%
Draws
32%
Gafsa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • PS Sakiet Eddaier carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
PS Sakiet Eddaier Clean Sheet 68%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PS Sakiet Eddaier Gafsa
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 21 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.09 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier vs Gafsa
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs PS Sakiet Eddaier
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PS Sakiet Eddaier Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Ameur H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jihinaoui H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Gafsa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PS Sakiet Eddaier 41 / 100
Gafsa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PS Sakiet Eddaier Gafsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PS Sakiet Eddaier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PS Sakiet Eddaier scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: PS Sakiet Eddaier remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Gafsa has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

PS Sakiet Eddaier VS Gafsa
2.5 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

PS Sakiet Eddaier

(Home)
13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
22 Aug
PS Sakiet Eddaier
2 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive
07 Aug
Club Africain
3 : 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier
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Gafsa

(Away)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2
Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0
Redeyef
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)