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PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persipura Jayapura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Cendrawasih Stadium, Biak
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSBS Biak Numfor host Persipura Jayapura in the Championship. Persipura Jayapura are expected to control this from the start. Persipura Jayapura have shipped 0.73 goals a game lately, while PSBS Biak Numfor have conceded 3.54 and scored 0.86. Head-to-head, PSBS Biak Numfor have won 1 to Persipura Jayapura's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Dec 10, 2023, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 3.50, favoring Persipura Jayapura. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PSBS Biak Numfor
20%
Draws
80%
Persipura Jayapura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Persipura Jayapura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Persipura Jayapura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSBS Biak Numfor Persipura Jayapura
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 3 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.76
Goals Conceded 3.54 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2023 Championship
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persipura Jayapura
3:1
Oct 20, 2023 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs PSBS Biak Numfor
1:1
Dec 21, 2022 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs PSBS Biak Numfor
0:0
Oct 7, 2022 Championship
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persipura Jayapura
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
Persipura Jayapura 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSBS Biak Numfor Persipura Jayapura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

PSBS Biak Numfor scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Persipura Jayapura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 33 matches.

Persipura Jayapura lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSBS Biak Numfor VS Persipura Jayapura
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
5.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSBS Biak Numfor

(Home)
03 Oct
PSBS Biak Numfor
1 : 5
RANS Nusantara
27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
20 Sept
Persis Solo
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Sept
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Deltras Sidoarjo
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
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Persipura Jayapura

(Away)
09 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 3
RANS Nusantara
02 Oct
Dejan
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
26 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 1
Persis Solo
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
PS Barito Putera
3 : 2
Persipura Jayapura
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 4 3 1 0 13:2 10
2 PSIS Semarang 5 3 1 1 8:5 9
3 Persikad Depok 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
4 PSPS Riau 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
5 Semen Padang 4 2 1 1 4:2 6
6 PSGC Ciamis 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
7 Sumsel United 5 2 1 2 10:8 6
8 Bekasi City 5 1 1 3 6:5 4
9 Persiraja Aceh 5 1 0 4 6:8 2
10 Persiku Kudus 5 0 1 4 3:17 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Persela Lamongan 4 4 0 0 10:0 11
3 RANS Nusantara 5 3 1 1 15:9 10
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 4 2 2 0 5:2 7
5 Persipura Jayapura 5 1 2 2 7:8 4
6 PS Barito Putera 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 Persis Solo 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
8 Dejan 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
9 Balikpapan 4 0 0 4 2:7 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 4 0 0 4 1:23 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)