Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Doue D.
28'
28'
Gomez J.
31'
31'
Mac Allister A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with PSG advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and PSG come out ahead of Liverpool on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- PSG have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor PSG, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors PSG here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
PSG Clean Sheet 17%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSG | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2026 Champions League
Liverpool vs PSG
0:2
Apr 8, 2026 Champions League
PSG vs Liverpool
2:0
Mar 11, 2025 Champions League
Liverpool vs PSG
0:2
Mar 5, 2025 Champions League
PSG vs Liverpool
0:1
Nov 28, 2018 Champions League
PSG vs Liverpool
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSG Compare
Top Goalscorer Doue D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kvaratskhelia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Liverpool Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSG 31 / 100
Liverpool 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSG Liverpool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSG found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Liverpool let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: PSG remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
PSG VS Liverpool
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
PSG
(Home) 16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0 PSG
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1 Aston Villa
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1 Manchester United
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 PSG
30 May
PSG
2 : 1 Arsenal
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1 Aston Villa
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1 Manchester United
30 May
PSG
2 : 1 Arsenal
10 May
PSG
1 : 0 Brest
02 May
PSG
2 : 2 Lorient
Page 1 of 4
Liverpool
(Away) 16 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 0 Como
16 Aug
Liverpool
0 : 0 Como
09 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 3 Monaco
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
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15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2 Liverpool
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Liverpool
19 Apr
Everton
1 : 2 Liverpool
08 Apr
PSG
2 : 0 Liverpool
04 Apr
Manchester City
4 : 0 Liverpool
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Monaco 4
PSG 5
Chelsea -
TBD -
Galatasaray 7
Juventus 5
Liverpool -
TBD -
Benfica 1
Real Madrid 3
Manchester City -
TBD -
Dortmund 3
Atalanta 4
Bayern Munich -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam 3
Newcastle Utd 9
Barcelona -
TBD -
Club Brugge 4
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt 5
Inter 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2
Arsenal -
TBD -
1/8-finals
PSG 8
Chelsea 2
Galatasaray 1
Liverpool 4
Real Madrid 5
Manchester City 1
Atalanta 2
Bayern Munich 10
Newcastle Utd 3
Barcelona 8
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Sporting CP 5
Bayer Leverkusen 1
Arsenal 3
Quarter-finals
PSG 4
Liverpool 0
Real Madrid 4
Bayern Munich 6
Barcelona 2
Atl. Madrid 3
Sporting CP 0
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
PSG 6
Bayern Munich 5
Atl. Madrid 1
Arsenal 2
Final
PSG 2
Arsenal 1
