Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSG W vs Montpellier W

France France

Coupe de France Women
PSG W Logo

PSG W

5 - 0
FT
Montpellier W Logo

Montpellier W

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Leuchter R.
59' Event
Groenen J.
65' Event
Leuchter R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
PSG W
20%
Draws
28%
Montpellier W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Montpellier W haven't matched PSG W's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on PSG W taking it.
  • PSG W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PSG W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PSG W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
PSG W Clean Sheet 68%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSG W Montpellier W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs PSG W
2:3
Jan 24, 2026 Coupe de France Women
PSG W vs Montpellier W
5:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
PSG W vs Montpellier W
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
PSG W vs Montpellier W
4:1
Sep 21, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs PSG W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leuchter R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Groenen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Montpellier W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSG W 95 / 100
Montpellier W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSG W Montpellier W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSG W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Montpellier W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

PSG W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSG W VS Montpellier W
2.13 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSG W

(Home)
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
11 Sept
PSG W
2 : 0
Strasbourg W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
02 Sept
PSG W
5 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
Page 1 of 6

Montpellier W

(Away)
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2
Montpellier W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Dijon W 4
Toulouse W 1
Rennes W 0
Fleury 91 W 5
PSG W 2
Lille W 0
Sarcelles A.A.S. W 1
Montpellier W 2
Troyes W 1
Chatenoy W 3
Caen W 3
La Roche W 2
Roubaix W 1
Saint-Malo W 2
Lens W 0
Paris FC W 2
Bergerac W 0
Nantes W 9
Lorient W 1
Le Mans W 7
Albi-Marssac W 1
Grenoble W 2
Esperance Pernoise W 0
Strasbourg W 2
Thonon Evian W 0
Marseille W 1
St Etienne W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Molsheim Ernolsheim W 1
Nice W 4
Le Havre W 4
Auxerre W 1
1/8-finals
Dijon W 1
Fleury 91 W 0
PSG W 5
Montpellier W 0
Chatenoy W 1
Caen W 2
Saint-Malo W 0
Paris FC W 1
Nantes W 5
Le Mans W 0
Grenoble W 0
Strasbourg W 1
Marseille W 1
OL Lyonnes W 5
Nice W 1
Le Havre W 2
Quarter-finals
Dijon W 1
PSG W 2
Caen W 0
Paris FC W 2
Nantes W 0
Strasbourg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 7
Le Havre W 0
Semi-finals
PSG W 2
Paris FC W 1
Strasbourg W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Final
PSG W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4