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PSIS Semarang vs PSPS Riau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Jatidiri Stadium, Semarang
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Match Events

26' Event
Arjunsyah A.
40'
Lestaluhu A.
45' Event
Gamaroni de Carvalho A. A.

AI Match Summary

PSIS Semarang in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSIS Semarang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
PSIS Semarang
15%
Draws
40%
PSPS Riau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSIS Semarang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSPS Riau lately — more wins on the board than PSIS Semarang.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on PSIS Semarang taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
PSIS Semarang Clean Sheet 11%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSIS Semarang PSPS Riau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs PSPS Riau
2:1
Nov 21, 2017 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs PSPS Riau
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSIS Semarang Compare

Top Goalscorer Arjunsyah A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lestaluhu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

PSPS Riau Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamaroni de Carvalho A. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSIS Semarang 38 / 100
PSPS Riau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSIS Semarang PSPS Riau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSIS Semarang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSIS Semarang scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: PSPS Riau conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

PSIS Semarang has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSIS Semarang VS PSPS Riau
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSIS Semarang

(Home)
09 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 3
Persiraja Aceh
03 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0
Bekasi City
27 Sept
Persiku Kudus
0 : 3
PSIS Semarang
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSIS Semarang
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6

PSPS Riau

(Away)
04 Oct
Semen Padang
0 : 1
PSPS Riau
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2
PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 4 3 1 0 13:2 10
2 PSIS Semarang 5 3 1 1 8:5 9
3 Persikad Depok 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
4 PSPS Riau 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
5 Semen Padang 4 2 1 1 4:2 6
6 PSGC Ciamis 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
7 Sumsel United 5 2 1 2 10:8 6
8 Bekasi City 5 1 1 3 6:5 4
9 Persiraja Aceh 5 1 0 4 6:8 2
10 Persiku Kudus 5 0 1 4 3:17 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Persela Lamongan 4 4 0 0 10:0 11
3 RANS Nusantara 5 3 1 1 15:9 10
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 4 2 2 0 5:2 7
5 Persipura Jayapura 5 1 2 2 7:8 4
6 PS Barito Putera 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 Persis Solo 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
8 Dejan 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
9 Balikpapan 4 0 0 4 2:7 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 4 0 0 4 1:23 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)