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PSM Makassar vs Bali United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Mustafic M.
Assist: Goppel T.
8'
Receveur T.
15'
Lasinari S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between PSM Makassar and Bali United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bali United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
PSM Makassar
11%
Draws
80%
Bali United
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bali United come out ahead of PSM Makassar on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Bali United taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%
Bali United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSM Makassar Bali United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Super League
Bali United vs PSM Makassar
2:0
Jan 9, 2026 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Bali United
0:2
Apr 25, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Bali United
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Super League
Bali United vs PSM Makassar
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Bali United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSM Makassar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bali United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustafic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goppel T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSM Makassar 10 / 100
Bali United 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSM Makassar Bali United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Bali United conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: PSM Makassar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSM Makassar VS Bali United
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSM Makassar

(Home)
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
27 Apr
Bali United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6

Bali United

(Away)
22 May
Dewa United
0 : 1
Bali United
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
11 May
Bali United
2 : 3
Borneo
05 May
Madura United
2 : 0
Bali United
27 Apr
Bali United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518
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