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PSM Makassar vs Madura United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSM Makassar host Madura United in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: PSM Makassar at 1.04 goals for, 1.75 against; Madura United at 1.43 for, 1.61 against. Head-to-head, PSM Makassar have won 2 to Madura United's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.88) point toward Madura United. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
PSM Makassar
30%
Draws
39%
Madura United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madura United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Madura United have won more games recently than PSM Makassar.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on PSM Makassar taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%
Madura United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSM Makassar Madura United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs PSM Makassar
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Madura United
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs PSM Makassar
1:3
Oct 18, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Madura United
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Super League
Madura United vs PSM Makassar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSM Makassar 34 / 100
Madura United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSM Makassar Madura United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Madura United let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

PSM Makassar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSM Makassar VS Madura United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSM Makassar

(Home)
22 Oct
PSM Makassar
1 : 0
Persebaya
16 Oct
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 2
PSM Makassar
11 Oct
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
Page 1 of 6

Madura United

(Away)
22 Oct
Madura United
1 : 0
Persib Bandung
16 Oct
Madura United
3 : 3
FC Bhayangkara
09 Oct
Persik Kediri
2 : 0
Madura United
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
2 Dewa United 7 4 2 1 12:10 14
3 Bali United 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Madura United 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
5 Persib Bandung 7 4 1 2 11:8 13
6 Persita 6 3 3 0 12:9 12
7 FC Bhayangkara 6 2 4 0 11:8 10
8 Persik Kediri 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
9 Arema FC 7 2 3 2 16:14 9
10 Persebaya 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
11 PSM Makassar 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
12 Java United 7 2 3 2 10:10 7
13 Borneo 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Garudayaksa 7 1 2 4 7:14 5
15 PSS Sleman 6 1 1 4 9:11 4
16 Isenmulang Kalteng 7 1 2 4 3:12 3
17 PSIM Yogyakarta 7 0 2 5 3:11 2
18 Persijap Jepara 7 0 1 6 3:15 1
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