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PSMS Medan vs Port MTI FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

President Cup Stadion Teladan, Medan
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Match Events

16' Event
Shimura N.
Assist: Bureerat S.
46'
Sub
Tiatrakul S. In: Lucas Tocantins
Out: Tiatrakul S.
46'
Sub
Boutsingkham H. In: Lins M.
Out: Boutsingkham H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
PSMS Medan
15%
Draws
32%
Port MTI FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSMS Medan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Port MTI FC come out ahead of PSMS Medan on wins alone.
  • Model gives PSMS Medan a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Port MTI FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Port MTI FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 18%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSMS Medan Port MTI FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.32 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 President Cup
PSMS Medan vs Port MTI FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSMS Medan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimura N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Sabhi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSMS Medan 85 / 100
Port MTI FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSMS Medan Port MTI FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSMS Medan scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Port MTI FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: PSMS Medan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSMS Medan VS Port MTI FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PSMS Medan

(Home)
03 Oct
PSMS Medan
4 : 0
Persikad Depok
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1
PSMS Medan
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0
Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 6

Port MTI FC

(Away)
08 Oct
Port MTI FC
1 : 3
Persib Bandung
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Arema FC 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Tampines 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 DPMM 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persebaya 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
2 Persija Jakarta 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Port MTI FC 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 PSMS Medan 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)