Sport Picks
PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Teladan, Medan 
Match Events
2'
2'
Cadenazzi F.
Assist: Saputra D.
28'
28'
Rahman F.
35'
35'
Gutawa E.
AI Match Summary
PSMS Medan in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSMS Medan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSMS Medan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sumsel United average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of PSMS Medan's 1.25.
- Win probability leans PSMS Medan's way, sitting at 80%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 68%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSMS Medan | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs PSMS Medan
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United
3:1
Nov 24, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs PSMS Medan
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sumsel United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSMS Medan Compare
Top Goalscorer Cadenazzi F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Saputra D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Dall'Oca
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSMS Medan 86 / 100
Sumsel United 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSMS Medan Sumsel United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Attacking prowess: PSMS Medan scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Sumsel United has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
PSMS Medan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
PSMS Medan VS Sumsel United
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
PSMS Medan
(Home) 27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1 PSMS Medan
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0 Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0 Persiku Kudus
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
25 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 1 Isenmulang Kalteng
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0 Sriwijaya
28 Mar
PSMS Medan
1 : 1 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 3
Sumsel United
(Away) 26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
28 Mar
Isenmulang Kalteng
3 : 2 Sumsel United
14 Feb
PSMS Medan
3 : 1 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
