Sport Picks
Match Events
78'
78'
Doherty C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Moyola advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moyola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Moyola carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Moyola taking it.
- Moyola arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor PSNI, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and PSNI have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
PSNI Clean Sheet 20%
Moyola Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSNI | Moyola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 22 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.96 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2023 Irish League Cup
PSNI vs Moyola
0:1
Mar 26, 2011 IFA Championship 2
PSNI vs Moyola
4:2
Jan 22, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Moyola vs PSNI
2:3
Mar 27, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Moyola vs PSNI
2:4
Jan 23, 2010 IFA Championship 2
PSNI vs Moyola
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSNI Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Moyola Compare
Top Goalscorer Doherty C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSNI 10 / 100
Moyola 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSNI Moyola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moyola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Moyola conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
PSNI scored in 48% of their last 25 games.
Away concern: Moyola has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Moyola
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
PSNI
(Home) 09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7 Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1 Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1 PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0 PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3 PSNI
Page 1 of 6
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7 Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1 Moyola
10 Mar
PSNI
2 : 4 Dundela
07 Mar
PSNI
0 : 2 Portadown
25 Jan
PSNI
0 : 1 Dundela
Page 1 of 2
Moyola
(Away) 26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1 Moyola
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0 Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2 Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4 Harland & Wolff
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0 Armagh
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1 Moyola
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2 Moyola
22 Aug
Annagh
2 : 0 Moyola
08 Aug
Dundela
2 : 2 Moyola
14 Jul
Cliftonville
3 : 0 Moyola
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Distillery 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Limavady 6
Tobermore 1
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Portadown -
TBD -
Banbridge 0
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Annagh -
TBD -
Portstewart 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
PSNI 0
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 4
Lisburn Distillery 0
Coleraine 2
Bangor FC 1
Limavady 2
Dundela 0
Glenavon 2
Dergview 1
Portadown 4
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint 0
Crusaders 5
Annagh 4
Portstewart 1
Loughgall 3
Ballyclare 2
Dungannon 3
Newington FC 1
Cliftonville 3
Institute 0
Carrick Rangers 4
Moyola 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Newry City 2
Ballinamallard 1
Ards 5
Larne 9
Knockbreda 1
Dollingstown 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 3
Queens University 1
1/8-finals
Ballymena 1
Coleraine 2
Limavady 0
Glenavon 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 1
Annagh 0
Loughgall 1
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 3
Ards 3
Larne 5
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Larne 2
Linfield 3
Semi-finals
Glenavon 0
Portadown 1
Dungannon 1
Linfield 2
Final
Portadown 1
Linfield 3
