Sport Picks
PSPS Riau vs Persekat Tegal
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Kaharudin Nasution Sport Center Rumbai Stadium, Pekanbaru 
Match Events
18'
18'
Yasir M.
Assist: Ariyanto V.
28'
28'
Atieda S.
31'
31'
Gamaroni de Carvalho A. A.
Assist: Ariyanto V.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between PSPS Riau and Persekat Tegal finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSPS Riau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSPS Riau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- PSPS Riau carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on PSPS Riau taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 68%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSPS Riau | Persekat Tegal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Persekat Tegal
4:2
Jan 16, 2026 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Persekat Tegal
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs PSPS Riau
2:3
Jul 24, 2020 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Persekat Tegal
0:0
Mar 29, 2020 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs PSPS Riau
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSPS Riau Compare
Top Goalscorer Gamaroni de Carvalho A. A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Yasir M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Persekat Tegal Compare
Top Goalscorer Atieda S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSPS Riau 59 / 100
Persekat Tegal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSPS Riau Persekat Tegal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSPS Riau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSPS Riau's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Persekat Tegal let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Persekat Tegal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
PSPS Riau VS Persekat Tegal
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
PSPS Riau
(Home) 19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1 PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2 PSPS Riau
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2 Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
PSPS Riau
3 : 1 Persikad Depok
28 Feb
PSPS Riau
0 : 0 Garudayaksa
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Persekat Tegal
(Away) 08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2 Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2 Persekat Tegal
06 Apr
Bekasi City
1 : 1 Persekat Tegal
27 Mar
Persikad Depok
4 : 1 Persekat Tegal
14 Feb
Garudayaksa
2 : 1 Persekat Tegal
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
