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PSS Sleman vs Arema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Maguwoharjo Stadium, Yogyakarta
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSS Sleman host Arema FC in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: PSS Sleman at 1.66 goals for, 1.1 against; Arema FC at 1.73 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, PSS Sleman have won 3 to Arema FC's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2025, ending 6:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.75) point toward PSS Sleman. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
PSS Sleman
30%
Draws
39%
Arema FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arema FC come out ahead of PSS Sleman on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on PSS Sleman taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 12%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSS Sleman Arema FC
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs PSS Sleman
6:2
Sep 20, 2024 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Arema FC
3:1
Apr 15, 2024 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Arema FC
4:1
Sep 30, 2023 Super League
Arema FC vs PSS Sleman
2:1
Jan 26, 2023 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Arema FC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSS Sleman 38 / 100
Arema FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSS Sleman Arema FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSS Sleman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSS Sleman's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Arema FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: PSS Sleman stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSS Sleman VS Arema FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSS Sleman

(Home)
27 Oct
PSS Sleman
1 : 2
Borneo
22 Oct
Persik Kediri
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
18 Oct
Persebaya
2 : 2
PSS Sleman
11 Oct
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
Page 1 of 6

Arema FC

(Away)
25 Oct
Arema FC
4 : 0
Dewa United
21 Oct
Persija Jakarta
5 : 1
Arema FC
17 Oct
Garudayaksa
3 : 1
Arema FC
10 Oct
Arema FC
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
18 Sept
Arema FC
1 : 1
Persik Kediri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 7 6 0 1 17:6 18
2 Dewa United 7 4 2 1 12:10 14
3 Bali United 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Persib Bandung 7 4 1 2 11:8 13
5 Madura United 7 4 1 2 12:10 13
6 Persita 6 3 3 0 12:9 12
7 Persebaya 7 3 3 1 9:6 12
8 FC Bhayangkara 7 2 5 0 11:8 11
9 Persik Kediri 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
10 Arema FC 7 2 3 2 16:14 9
11 PSM Makassar 7 2 3 2 9:12 9
12 Borneo 6 3 0 3 6:7 9
13 Java United 7 2 3 2 10:10 7
14 Garudayaksa 7 1 2 4 7:14 5
15 PSS Sleman 7 1 1 5 10:13 4
16 Isenmulang Kalteng 7 1 2 4 3:12 3
17 PSIM Yogyakarta 7 0 2 5 3:11 2
18 Persijap Jepara 7 0 1 6 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)