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Stadium Background

PSS Sleman vs Persela Lamongan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Maguwoharjo Stadium, Yogyakarta
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Tahir M.
38' Event
Gustavo Tocantins
46'
Sub
Pratama I. In: Alfareza A.
Out: Pratama I.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between PSS Sleman and Persela Lamongan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
PSS Sleman
15%
Draws
71%
Persela Lamongan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persela Lamongan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Persela Lamongan come out ahead of PSS Sleman on wins alone.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Persela Lamongan taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 13%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSS Sleman Persela Lamongan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs PSS Sleman
0:1
Jan 18, 2026 Championship
PSS Sleman vs Persela Lamongan
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs PSS Sleman
2:1
Mar 24, 2022 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Persela Lamongan
3:2
Dec 11, 2021 Super League
Persela Lamongan vs PSS Sleman
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSS Sleman Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Tocantins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Persela Lamongan Compare

Top Goalscorer Agung T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSS Sleman 10 / 100
Persela Lamongan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSS Sleman Persela Lamongan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persela Lamongan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSS Sleman scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Persela Lamongan conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: PSS Sleman remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSS Sleman VS Persela Lamongan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSS Sleman

(Home)
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 6

Persela Lamongan

(Away)
04 Oct
PS Barito Putera
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0
Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)