Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSV W vs Koge W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Women De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Carusa K.
Assist: Madsen R.
52'
Jacobs L.
62'
Sub
Hickelsberger-Fuller J. In: Marfo P.
Out: Hickelsberger-Fuller J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
PSV W
20%
Draws
35%
Koge W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSV W lately — more wins on the board than Koge W.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • PSV W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Koge W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
PSV W Clean Sheet 13%
Koge W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W Koge W
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 24 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.21 2.36
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Koge W vs PSV W
1:1
Aug 26, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
PSV W vs Koge W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carusa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 30 / 100
Koge W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W Koge W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSV W scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

PSV W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Koge W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS Koge W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
18 Oct
Ajax W
1 : 4
PSV W
04 Oct
Den Haag W
0 : 3
PSV W
30 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
0 : 0
PSV W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
Page 1 of 7

Koge W

(Away)
04 Oct
Nordsjaelland W
2 : 2
Koge W
01 Oct
Koge W
5 : 1
Servette W
26 Sept
Koge W
4 : 1
KoldingQ W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Koge W
4 : 0
Midtjylland W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Sparta Prague W 3
Servette W 5
PSV W 1
Koge W 2
Brann W 2
Austria Vienna W 5
Leuven W 6
Czarni Sosnowiec W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 2
PSG W 6
St. Polten W 1
Juventus W 4
Wolfsburg W 3
Inter W 4
Chelsea W 6
Real Sociedad W 2
Ajax W 1
Real Madrid W 4