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PSV W vs VV Alkmaar W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ripa C.
3' Event
Brugts E.
Assist: Ripa C.
46'
Sub
Spaan F. In: van der Heijde J.
Out: Spaan F.

AI Match Summary

PSV W in this Eredivisie Women 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSV W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
PSV W
20%
Draws
15%
VV Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • VV Alkmaar W haven't matched PSV W's recent run of results.
  • PSV W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSV W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
PSV W Clean Sheet 68%
VV Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W VV Alkmaar W
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 32 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 2.41 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs VV Alkmaar W
4:0
Nov 4, 2022 Eredivisie Women
VV Alkmaar W vs PSV W
0:2
Apr 22, 2022 Eredivisie Women
VV Alkmaar W vs PSV W
2:3
Feb 11, 2022 Eredivisie Women
VV Alkmaar W vs PSV W
1:3
Oct 31, 2021 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs VV Alkmaar W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripa C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brugts E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

VV Alkmaar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 95 / 100
VV Alkmaar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W VV Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSV W scored in 93% of their last 41 outings.

VV Alkmaar W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

PSV W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
Feyenoord W
0 : 6
PSV W
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VV Alkmaar W

(Away)
18 Aug
Utrecht W
2 : 2
VV Alkmaar W
11 Aug
SBV Excelsior W
2 : 0
VV Alkmaar W
07 May
VV Alkmaar W
1 : 1
Sittard W
29 Apr
PSV W
4 : 0
VV Alkmaar W
31 Mar
VV Alkmaar W
0 : 1
PEC Zwolle W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax W 20 18 1 1 67:15 55
2 Twente W 20 18 0 2 81:6 54
3 Sittard W 20 11 3 6 49:27 36
4 PSV W 20 11 2 7 36:23 35
5 Den Haag W 20 10 2 8 42:21 32
6 PEC Zwolle W 20 7 5 8 26:37 26
7 Feyenoord W 20 6 6 8 18:24 24
8 Heerenveen W 20 7 1 12 24:56 22
9 VV Alkmaar W 20 3 3 14 11:55 12
10 Telstar W 20 3 3 14 18:65 12
11 SBV Excelsior W 20 2 2 16 14:57 8
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)