Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Puebla de la Calzada

0 - 1

Jaraiz

Our Tip

Match Events

85'

Cordeiro F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Puebla de la Calzada and Jaraiz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaraiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Puebla de la Calzada

40%

Draws

29%

Jaraiz

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Puebla de la Calzada haven't matched Jaraiz's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 13%

Jaraiz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Puebla de la Calzada	Jaraiz
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	13
Draws	10	10
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Puebla de la Calzada vs Jaraiz

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Jaraiz vs Puebla de la Calzada

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Jaraiz vs Puebla de la Calzada

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Puebla de la Calzada vs Jaraiz

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla de la Calzada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordeiro F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla de la Calzada 31 / 100

Jaraiz 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Puebla de la Calzada Jaraiz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaraiz has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Puebla de la Calzada scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Puebla de la Calzada remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puebla de la Calzada VS Jaraiz

1 Goals Scored 1.25

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Don Benito	34	21	8	5	70:22	71
2	CD Badajoz	34	23	5	6	64:27	71
3	Moralo	34	17	11	6	54:32	62
4	CD Azuaga	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
5	Jaraiz	34	16	11	7	53:33	59
6	Cabeza del Buey	34	15	12	7	45:29	57
7	SP Villafranca	34	16	7	11	45:40	55
8	Villanovense	34	15	8	11	45:36	53
9	Montijo	34	13	7	14	43:42	46
10	Jerez CF	34	8	17	9	56:51	41
11	AD Llerenense	34	11	8	15	35:44	41
12	Puebla de la Calzada	34	9	11	14	35:48	38
13	Santa Amalia	34	9	7	18	30:52	34
14	Gevora	34	8	9	17	32:53	33
15	Pueblonuevo	34	9	6	19	29:55	33
16	CD Diocesano	34	6	12	16	33:63	30
17	Montehermoso	34	5	8	21	24:66	23
18	CD Calamonte	34	3	13	18	25:47	22