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Puebla U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Fri, Feb 13, 2026
2 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Hernandez B.
79' Event
del Valle Y.
81' Event
Quintanar E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Puebla U21 and UNAM Pumas U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Puebla U21
15%
Draws
36%
UNAM Pumas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puebla U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UNAM Pumas U21 come out ahead of Puebla U21 on wins alone.
  • Puebla U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 68%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla U21 UNAM Pumas U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Puebla U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UNAM Pumas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer del Valle Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quintanar E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla U21 59 / 100
UNAM Pumas U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla U21 UNAM Pumas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas U21 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Puebla U21 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

UNAM Pumas U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla U21 VS UNAM Pumas U21
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 1
Puebla U21
18 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Atlante U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Toluca U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
29 Aug
Club America U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
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UNAM Pumas U21

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)