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Stadium Background

Puebla vs Atletico San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puebla host Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Atletico San Luis have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Puebla have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.18. Past meetings favor Atletico San Luis slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.44) point toward Atletico San Luis. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Puebla
30%
Draws
58%
Atletico San Luis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico San Luis have won more games recently than Puebla.
  • Win probability leans Atletico San Luis's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atletico San Luis have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Puebla Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla Atletico San Luis
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Puebla
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Atletico San Luis
0:2
Jan 18, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Atletico San Luis
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Puebla
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Puebla
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla 19 / 100
Atletico San Luis 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla Atletico San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Atletico San Luis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Puebla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla VS Atletico San Luis
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla

(Home)
25 Oct
Atlas
4 : 3
Puebla
22 Oct
Puebla
1 : 4
Monterrey
17 Oct
Club Tijuana
0 : 0
Puebla
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

Atletico San Luis

(Away)
24 Oct
Atlante
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis
21 Oct
Atletico San Luis
2 : 1
Queretaro
18 Oct
Toluca
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis
11 Oct
Atletico San Luis
1 : 2
Santos Laguna
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 14 8 4 2 34:19 28
2 Cruz Azul 14 8 2 4 32:23 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
4 Atlas 14 7 3 4 25:26 24
5 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
6 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
7 Club Tijuana 14 5 6 3 22:18 21
8 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
9 Queretaro 13 6 2 5 17:18 20
10 Santos Laguna 14 6 1 7 20:20 19
11 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Pachuca 14 4 4 6 22:19 16
14 Puebla 14 4 4 6 16:21 16
15 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
16 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)