Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puebla vs Club America

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Raphael Veiga
Assist: Violante I.
49'
Mejia A.
52'
Guerra E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Puebla and Club America finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club America.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Puebla
30%
Draws
34%
Club America
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Puebla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Club America carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Puebla a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Club America here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%
Club America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla Club America
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Club America
0:4
Oct 22, 2025 Liga MX
Club America vs Puebla
2:1
Jul 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Club America vs Puebla
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Club America
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 Liga MX
Club America vs Puebla
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Club America Compare

Top Goalscorer Raphael Veiga
1 Goals
Assists Leader Violante I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla 34 / 100
Club America 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla Club America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Club America has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Puebla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puebla VS Club America
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla

(Home)
22 Jul
Cruz Azul
2 : 1
Puebla
18 Jul
Juarez
0 : 1
Puebla
10 Jul
Atlas
3 : 4
Puebla
04 Jul
Pachuca
3 : 1
Puebla
01 Jul
Puebla
3 : 1
Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6

Club America

(Away)
25 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1
Club America
19 Jul
Queretaro
0 : 1
Club America
12 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 0
Club America
05 Jul
Jaiba Brava
0 : 2
Club America
11 May
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)