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Puebla W vs Atletico San Luis W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Contreras R.
Assist: Sanchez M.
24'
Herrera L.
40' Event
Higuera E.
Assist: Sanchez M.

AI Match Summary

Atletico San Luis W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico San Luis W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Puebla W
15%
Draws
85%
Atletico San Luis W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Puebla W haven't matched Atletico San Luis W's recent run of results.
  • Atletico San Luis W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Atletico San Luis W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico San Luis W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla W Atletico San Luis W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.58
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Atletico San Luis W
2:5
Mar 12, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Puebla W
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Atletico San Luis W
0:6
Apr 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Puebla W
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Atletico San Luis W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nalukenge J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Atletico San Luis W Compare

Top Goalscorer Higuera E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Contreras R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla W 10 / 100
Atletico San Luis W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla W Atletico San Luis W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico San Luis W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico San Luis W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Puebla W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Atletico San Luis W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla W VS Atletico San Luis W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla W

(Home)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
Page 1 of 6

Atletico San Luis W

(Away)
03 Oct
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)