Sport Picks
Pueblonuevo vs CD Calamonte
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
49'
49'
Izquierdo L.
60'
60'
Doncel M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Pueblonuevo and CD Calamonte finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pueblonuevo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pueblonuevo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pueblonuevo come out ahead of CD Calamonte on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pueblonuevo | CD Calamonte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs CD Calamonte
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Pueblonuevo
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs CD Calamonte
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Pueblonuevo
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs CD Calamonte
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pueblonuevo Compare
Top Goalscorer Izquierdo L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Doncel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
CD Calamonte Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pueblonuevo 31 / 100
CD Calamonte 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pueblonuevo CD Calamonte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pueblonuevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Calamonte let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Pueblonuevo scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Pueblonuevo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pueblonuevo VS CD Calamonte
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pueblonuevo
(Home) 13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5 CD Badajoz
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0 CD Azuaga
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5 CD Badajoz
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0 CD Azuaga
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
12 Apr
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0 Jaraiz
02 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 1 CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 3
CD Calamonte
(Away) 09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
29 Mar
SP Villafranca
1 : 0 CD Calamonte
15 Mar
Santa Amalia
2 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
