Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017

CP Amanecer

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pueblonuevo play CP Amanecer in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pueblonuevo averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. CP Amanecer averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Pueblonuevo won 2, CP Amanecer won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2018 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Pueblonuevo and 1.50 for CP Amanecer. This points to a Pueblonuevo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Pueblonuevo

15%

Draws

36%

CP Amanecer

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pueblonuevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Pueblonuevo picked up more points recently compared to CP Amanecer.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 16%

CP Amanecer Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pueblonuevo	CP Amanecer
Matches Played	44	33
Wins	18	10
Draws	10	5
Losses	16	18
Goals Scored	1.23	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.79

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo vs CP Amanecer

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Nov 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CP Amanecer vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo vs CP Amanecer

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CP Amanecer vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 0 - 4

5:0

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CP Amanecer vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pueblonuevo 47 / 100

CP Amanecer 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pueblonuevo CP Amanecer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pueblonuevo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pueblonuevo attacking → ← attacking CP Amanecer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pueblonuevo scored in 68% of their last 44 games.

CP Amanecer let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pueblonuevo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CP Amanecer lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 35

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cacereno	38	29	5	4	81:16	92
2	CD Badajoz	38	25	10	3	90:17	85
3	Jerez CF	38	25	4	9	58:26	79
4	CD Azuaga	38	22	8	8	83:42	74
5	CD Coria	38	22	6	10	62:29	72
6	Don Benito	38	18	14	6	62:26	68
7	CD Calamonte	38	16	14	8	70:39	62
8	UP Plasencia	38	17	8	13	59:56	59
9	Moralo	38	13	13	12	57:58	52
10	Olivenza FC	38	12	11	15	44:54	47
11	Montijo	38	11	10	17	41:59	43
12	CP Amanecer	38	10	13	15	52:58	43
13	Extremadura UD B	38	9	13	16	49:55	40
14	CP Valdivia	38	9	12	17	34:63	39
15	Arroyo	38	10	7	21	31:64	37
16	Santa Amalia	38	10	6	22	34:82	36
17	Pueblonuevo	38	8	11	19	34:64	35
18	Fuente de Cantos	38	8	10	20	42:69	34
19	Diter Zafra	38	6	6	26	34:95	24
20	La Estrella	38	3	13	22	34:79	22