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Puente Genil vs CD Estepona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Aguilar Rosello P.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Arriaza P.

AI Match Summary

CD Estepona in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Estepona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Puente Genil
20%
Draws
51%
CD Estepona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Estepona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Estepona lately — more wins on the board than Puente Genil.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Puente Genil here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 68%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puente Genil CD Estepona
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs CD Estepona
0:2
Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs CD Estepona
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Puente Genil
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puente Genil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

CD Estepona Compare

Top Goalscorer Arriaza P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puente Genil 41 / 100
CD Estepona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puente Genil CD Estepona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puente Genil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puente Genil's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Estepona conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Puente Genil has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Puente Genil VS CD Estepona
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puente Genil

(Home)
04 Oct
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Puente Genil
27 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 0
Marbella
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
13 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Puente Genil
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
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CD Estepona

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Don Benito
27 Sept
Tenerife B
2 : 1
CD Estepona
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 5 4 1 0 8:0 13
2 Recreativo Huelva 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Don Benito 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Tenerife B 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
5 Ciudad de Lucena 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
6 Sevilla B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 CD Badajoz 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 CD Estepona 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Linares 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Mijas Las Lagunas 5 1 3 1 10:10 6
11 Sanluqueno 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Atletico Central 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
13 Xerez CD 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Marbella 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Puente Genil 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
16 Las Palmas B 5 1 1 3 1:8 4
17 Tamaraceite 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Antoniano 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)