Sport Picks
Puerto Rico vs Aruba
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Mayagüez Athletics Stadium, Mayagüez 
Match Events
8'
8'
Rivera R.
Assist: Hernandez N.
22'
22'
Jimenez J.
23'
23'
Hernandez N.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Puerto Rico and Aruba finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puerto Rico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Puerto Rico come out ahead of Aruba on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Puerto Rico Clean Sheet 13%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puerto Rico | Aruba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Puerto Rico vs Aruba
5:1
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Aruba vs Puerto Rico
0:1
Mar 18, 2000 World Championship
Puerto Rico vs Aruba
2:2
Mar 10, 2000 World Championship
Aruba vs Puerto Rico
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Puerto Rico Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivera R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hernandez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Aruba Compare
Top Goalscorer Jimenez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Puerto Rico 35 / 100
Aruba 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Puerto Rico Aruba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aruba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Aruba conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.
Puerto Rico found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Puerto Rico has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Puerto Rico VS Aruba
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Puerto Rico
(Home) 05 Jun
Puerto Rico
0 : 3 Saudi Arabia
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0 United States Virgin Islands
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0 Guam
15 Oct
Puerto Rico
0 : 6 Argentina
11 Jun
Puerto Rico
2 : 1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
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05 Jun
Puerto Rico
0 : 3 Saudi Arabia
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0 United States Virgin Islands
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0 Guam
15 Oct
Puerto Rico
0 : 6 Argentina
11 Jun
Puerto Rico
2 : 1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
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Aruba
(Away) 07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
04 Jun
Barbados
1 : 1 Aruba
25 Mar
Cambodia
1 : 2 Aruba
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
