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Puertollano C.F. vs Cazalegas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ramirez J.

AI Match Summary

Puertollano C.F. in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puertollano C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Puertollano C.F.
15%
Draws
28%
Cazalegas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puertollano C.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Puertollano C.F. lately — more wins on the board than Cazalegas.
  • Win probability leans Puertollano C.F.'s way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Puertollano C.F. have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Puertollano C.F. Clean Sheet 20%
Cazalegas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puertollano C.F. Cazalegas
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.43 0.47
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Cazalegas
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Puertollano C.F.
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Puertollano C.F.
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Cazalegas
3:0
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Cazalegas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puertollano C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cazalegas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puertollano C.F. 49 / 100
Cazalegas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puertollano C.F. Cazalegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puertollano C.F. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puertollano C.F.'s goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cazalegas has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Cazalegas has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puertollano C.F. VS Cazalegas
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Puertollano C.F.

(Home)
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
04 Aug
Socuellamos
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
10 May
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
La Solana
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Puertollano C.F.
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Cazalegas

(Away)
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
Cazalegas
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Cazalegas
19 Apr
Cazalegas
0 : 2
San Clemente
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0
Cazalegas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)