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Pune vs SC Goa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

I-League 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Fernandes C.
35'
Izumi A.
41'
Karpeh B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I-League 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pune
15%
Draws
42%
SC Goa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pune

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • SC Goa have won more games recently than Pune.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pune Clean Sheet 21%
SC Goa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pune SC Goa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2015 I-League
SC Goa vs Pune
4:0
Feb 21, 2015 I-League
Pune vs SC Goa
1:1
Feb 16, 2014 I-League
Pune vs SC Goa
1:1
Nov 2, 2013 I-League
SC Goa vs Pune
2:0
Jan 20, 2013 I-League
Pune vs SC Goa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pune Compare

Top Goalscorer Haokip T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

SC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pune 32 / 100
SC Goa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pune SC Goa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Goa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pune scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

SC Goa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: SC Goa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Goa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pune

(Home)
30 May
SC Goa
4 : 0
Pune
24 May
Lajong
0 : 1
Pune
17 May
East Bengal
1 : 2
Pune
10 May
Kalyani Bharat
1 : 0
Pune
25 Apr
Pune
0 : 2
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 6

SC Goa

(Away)
15 May
SC Goa
1 : 2
SC Bengaluru
08 May
Bengaluru United
4 : 1
SC Goa
02 May
SC Goa
2 : 1
MYJ-GMSC
20 Apr
Delhi FC
2 : 1
SC Goa
14 Apr
SC Goa
1 : 0
Sudeva Delhi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 20 11 6 3 33:16 39
2 Bengaluru FC 20 10 7 3 35:19 37
3 Royal Wahingdoh 20 8 6 6 27:27 30
4 East Bengal 20 8 5 7 30:28 29
5 Pune 20 8 5 7 24:26 29
6 Mumbai 20 5 9 6 22:27 24
7 Salgaocar SC 20 7 3 10 25:27 24
8 SC Goa 20 5 8 7 22:27 23
9 Lajong 20 6 5 9 34:29 23
10 Dempo 20 3 10 7 15:26 19
11 Kalyani Bharat 20 4 6 10 13:28 18
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