Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy, Puntarenas
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Wilson R.
24'
Alvarez P.
44' Event
Cisneros R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Puntarenas FC and Alajuelense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Puntarenas FC
20%
Draws
33%
Alajuelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Puntarenas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Alajuelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 20%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puntarenas FC Alajuelense
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
2:1
Apr 24, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
5:2
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Castrillo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisneros R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puntarenas FC 28 / 100
Alajuelense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puntarenas FC Alajuelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Puntarenas FC scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Alajuelense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Puntarenas FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Puntarenas FC VS Alajuelense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Puntarenas FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Escorpiones
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
Page 1 of 6

Alajuelense

(Away)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Sporting FC 10 6 2 2 19:9 20
3 Cartagines 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
4 San Carlos 10 6 0 4 9:9 18
5 Alajuelense 10 4 3 3 16:11 15
6 Inter San Carlos 10 4 3 3 10:13 15
7 Puntarenas FC 10 3 3 4 9:14 12
8 Zeledon 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
9 Herediano 10 2 1 7 8:15 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)