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Puntarenas FC vs Herediano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy, Puntarenas
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puntarenas FC host Herediano in the Primera Division. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Puntarenas FC have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Herediano's 1.07 scored and 0.87 conceded. Past meetings favor Herediano slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.13) point toward Herediano. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Puntarenas FC
20%
Draws
33%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Puntarenas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Herediano have won more games recently than Puntarenas FC.
  • Model gives Puntarenas FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Herediano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 20%
Herediano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puntarenas FC Herediano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
0:1
Feb 11, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
3:0
Feb 3, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puntarenas FC 42 / 100
Herediano 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puntarenas FC Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Puntarenas FC scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Puntarenas FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Herediano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Puntarenas FC VS Herediano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Puntarenas FC

(Home)
25 Oct
Puntarenas FC
3 : 1
Inter San Carlos
20 Oct
Escorpiones
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
14 Oct
Cartagines
3 : 1
Puntarenas FC
10 Oct
Puntarenas FC
1 : 1
Alajuelense
19 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Escorpiones
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Herediano

(Away)
25 Oct
Herediano
3 : 1
Cartagines
18 Oct
Zeledon
0 : 3
Herediano
15 Oct
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Herediano
11 Oct
Herediano
0 : 1
San Carlos
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 13 8 0 5 27:14 24
2 Cartagines 13 8 0 5 24:17 24
3 Sporting FC 13 7 3 3 26:20 24
4 San Carlos 13 7 1 5 15:15 22
5 Alajuelense 12 5 4 3 20:14 19
6 Puntarenas FC 13 5 3 5 15:19 18
7 Inter San Carlos 13 5 3 5 15:20 18
8 Herediano 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
9 Escorpiones 13 3 1 9 14:22 10
10 Zeledon 12 2 3 7 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)