Sport Picks

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Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puntarenas FC play San Carlos in the Primera Division 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Puntarenas FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. San Carlos averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Puntarenas FC won 1, San Carlos won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 5, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Puntarenas FC and 1.25 for San Carlos. This points to a San Carlos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Puntarenas FC
30%
Draws
36%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Puntarenas FC picked up more points recently compared to San Carlos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 19%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puntarenas FC San Carlos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
0:0
Jan 22, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC
1:0
Nov 24, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puntarenas FC 34 / 100
San Carlos 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puntarenas FC San Carlos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Carlos or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Puntarenas FC attacking → ← attacking San Carlos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puntarenas FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

San Carlos let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Puntarenas FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

San Carlos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 29
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714