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Pure Swansea vs Llanelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
51' Event
Copp K.
Penalty Missed
78' Event
Kelly M.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Pure Swansea and Llanelli finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pure Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Pure Swansea
30%
Draws
0%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pure Swansea come out ahead of Llanelli on wins alone.
  • Pure Swansea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 20%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pure Swansea Llanelli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.86 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Llanelli
3:0
Apr 14, 2023 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Pure Swansea
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Llanelli
0:2
Oct 2, 2021 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Llanelli
2:2
Aug 24, 2021 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Pure Swansea
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pure Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lloyd J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Llanelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 85 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pure Swansea Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llanelli conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Pure Swansea remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Llanelli registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pure Swansea scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Pure Swansea VS Llanelli
3.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pure Swansea

(Home)
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
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Llanelli

(Away)
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 9 6 1 2 23:16 19
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
10 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
11 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
12 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
14 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)