Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru South 2022/2023

Pontardawe

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pure Swansea play Pontardawe in the Cymru South 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pure Swansea averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded. Pontardawe averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Pure Swansea won 1, Pontardawe won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 15, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Pure Swansea and 1.88 for Pontardawe. This points to a Pure Swansea double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Pure Swansea

Draws

Pontardawe

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Pontardawe has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pure Swansea.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Pure Swansea.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Cymru South 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 10%

Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pure Swansea	Pontardawe
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	8	9
Draws	7	8
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	2	1.75
Goals Conceded	2	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly

Pontardawe vs Pure Swansea

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Jan 2, 2023 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Pontardawe

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 0 - 0

2:3

Dec 27, 2022 Cymru South

Pontardawe vs Pure Swansea

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pure Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Johnston T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Pontardawe Compare

Top Goalscorer Booth R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Legavec A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 83 / 100

Pontardawe 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pure Swansea Pontardawe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pure Swansea scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Pontardawe let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Pure Swansea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pontardawe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pure Swansea VS Pontardawe

2 Goals Scored 1.75

2 Goals Conceded 2.25

100% Over 1.5 75%

80% Over 2.5 63%

40% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barry Town	30	25	3	2	78:25	78
2	Llanelli	30	19	5	6	63:34	62
3	Briton Ferry	30	17	9	4	72:33	60
4	Carmarthen Town	30	16	4	10	66:41	52
5	Cambrian United	30	14	5	11	64:53	47
6	Afan Lido	30	13	8	9	61:52	47
7	Llantwit Major	30	13	6	11	46:40	45
8	Cwmbran Celtic	30	10	8	12	62:53	38
9	Pontardawe	30	12	1	17	51:73	37
10	Ammanford Town	30	8	9	13	40:57	33
11	Taffs Well	30	8	8	14	50:54	32
12	Goytre Utd	30	8	8	14	45:67	32
13	Abergavenny Town	30	9	5	16	35:60	32
14	Trefelin	30	7	6	17	47:70	27
15	Pure Swansea	30	6	8	16	30:64	26
16	Ynyshir Albions	30	7	3	20	33:67	24