Sport Picks
Pure Swansea vs Pontypridd United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
44'
44'
Ingram D.
57'
57'
Jones J.
(Penalty)
59'
59'
Rowe K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pure Swansea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pontypridd United lately — more wins on the board than Pure Swansea.
- Win probability leans Pure Swansea's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 16%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pure Swansea | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Pontypridd United
4:4
Jan 29, 2022 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Pure Swansea
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Pontypridd United
3:4
Feb 8, 2020 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Pure Swansea
1:1
Oct 5, 2019 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Pontypridd United
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pure Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Ingram D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Copp K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Pontypridd United Compare
Top Goalscorer Farrah C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rowe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pure Swansea 84 / 100
Pontypridd United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pure Swansea Pontypridd United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontypridd United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Pure Swansea went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Pure Swansea's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Pure Swansea VS Pontypridd United
3.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Pure Swansea
(Home) 09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5 Pure Swansea
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1 Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1 Caerphilly
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0 Llanelli
18 Oct
Pure Swansea
1 : 6 Trefelin
Page 1 of 3
Pontypridd United
(Away) 10 Oct
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1 Pontypridd United
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1 Pontypridd United
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
