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Pure Swansea vs Risca United

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Thomas L.
28' Event
Wheeler R.
34' Event
Townsend N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pure Swansea
11%
Draws
9%
Risca United
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Risca United at 1 per game, Pure Swansea at 0.63.
  • Model gives Pure Swansea a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru South 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 16%
Risca United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pure Swansea Risca United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 2 4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2022 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Risca United
2:2
Sep 18, 2021 Cymru South
Risca United vs Pure Swansea
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pure Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Townsend N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Risca United Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wheeler R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 75 / 100
Risca United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pure Swansea Risca United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Risca United conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Pure Swansea scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Pure Swansea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pure Swansea VS Risca United
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Pure Swansea

(Home)
18 Oct
Pure Swansea
1 : 6
Trefelin
20 Sept
Abercarn United
1 : 2
Pure Swansea
16 Nov
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 0
Pure Swansea
26 Oct
Aber Valley
0 : 2
Pure Swansea
21 Sept
Pure Swansea
5 : 0
Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 7

Risca United

(Away)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llantwit Major30242473:3174
2Pontypridd United30216379:3069
3Briton Ferry30175876:3656
4Cambrian United30156973:4251
5Carmarthen Town30159652:2551
6Goytre Utd30156955:3651
7Taffs Well30147957:4749
8Pure Swansea301171244:4340
9Llanelli301171243:5440
10Afan Lido301231545:6739
11Trefelin309101158:5137
12Ammanford Town301041658:5634
13Cwmbran Celtic301041643:7434
14Risca United307101343:5131
15Undy30522341:8417
16Port Talbot3000308:1210
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)