Sport Picks

Pure Swansea vs Trefelin Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales

FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026

Pure Swansea

1 - 6

Trefelin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-6, with Trefelin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Pure Swansea

30%

Draws

Trefelin

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Pure Swansea haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
64% — that's where the model lands on Pure Swansea taking it.
Trefelin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Trefelin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 20%

Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pure Swansea	Trefelin
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	12	15
Draws	7	4
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.75	2.1
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.74
Expected Goals (xG)	2.69	0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup

Pure Swansea vs Trefelin

1:6

Mar 25, 2023 Cymru South

Trefelin vs Pure Swansea

2:2

Aug 19, 2022 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Trefelin

2:4

Feb 12, 2022 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Trefelin

3:3

Oct 23, 2021 Cymru South

Trefelin vs Pure Swansea

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 85 / 100

Trefelin 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pure Swansea Trefelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Pure Swansea has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pure Swansea found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Trefelin conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pure Swansea VS Trefelin

2.75 Goals Scored 0.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pure Swansea

(Home)

03 Oct

Pure Swansea

3 : 1

Caerphilly

25 Sept

Aberystwyth

0 : 0

Pure Swansea

11 Sept

Pure Swansea

4 : 0

Pontardawe

28 Aug

Pure Swansea

4 : 4

Pontypridd United

21 Aug

Caerau Ely

1 : 5

Pure Swansea

Page 1 of 6

Trefelin

(Away)

03 Oct

Airbus UK Broughton FC

3 : 0

Trefelin

26 Sept

Trefelin

1 : 3

TNS

18 Sept

Briton Ferry

1 : 1

Trefelin

15 Sept

Trefelin

0 : 4

Cambrian United

11 Sept

Trefelin

0 : 1

Penybont

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Porthmadog 3

Denbigh 2

TBD -

Buckley -

Port Talbot 2

Seven Sisters 1

Afan Lido 3

Evans Williams 2

Pwllheli 1

Rhyl 3

Brickfield Rangers 3

NFA 1

Llantwit Major 2

Baglan Dragons 0

Cwmbran Town 5

Ynyshir Albions 4

Llanelli -

TBD -

Haverfordwest -

Aberystwyth -

TBD -

Barry Town -

Caerphilly 1

Caldicot 3

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7

Pentwynmawr Ath 0

Saltney Town 3

Gresford 7

Llanrug 4

Ruthin Town 3

Cardiff Metropolitan University -

TBD -

Taffs Well 2

Abertillery Excelsiors 1

Mold Alexandra -

TBD -

TNS -

Newtown -

TBD -

Caernarfon -

Llannefydd 5

Llanberis FC 1

Penrhyncoch 2

Sychdyn Utd 0

Llwydcoed 3

Lliswerry 1

Pill -

Treowen -

Pontypridd United -

TBD -

Rhayader 1

Cefn Cribwr 4

Carmarthen Town -

TBD -

Trethomas Bluebirds -

Llanfair United 1

Kinmel Bay 2

TBD -

Colwyn Bay -

Goytre Utd 2

Ammanford Town 1

TBD -

Cambrian United -

Briton Ferry -

TBD -

Penybont -

Bow Street 4

Cefn Albion 2

TBD -

Flint Town -

Holyhead 4

Forden Utd 0

TBD -

Airbus UK Broughton FC -

Cwmbach Royal Stars 3

Garden Village 4

Tredegar Town 1

Glynneath Town 3

Broughton Utd 2

Welshpool 1

Berriew FC 0

Trearddur Bay 3

Newport City -

TBD -

Penygraig Utd 3

Cwm Welfare 2

Blaenavon Blues 4

Canton 1

Pontyclun FC 4

Tata Steel 1

St. Asaph 0

Bangor 1876 6

TBD -

Guilsfield -

Holywell Town FC -

TBD -

Rhostyllen 5

Nefyn United 2

Dinas Powys 3

Afan United 1

Cardiff Draconians 4

Cwmbran Celtic 2

Abercarn United 1

Pure Swansea 2

TBD -

Trefelin -

Caersws FC 6

Hawarden Rangers 1

Dolgellau Athletic 8

Queens Park 3

Penydarren 0

Caerau Ely 5

Morriston Town 1

Clydach 0

Llandudno FC -

TBD -

Flint Mountain -

Bala -

TBD -

Connahs Q. -

1/32-finals

Porthmadog 1

Buckley 0

Port Talbot 3

Afan Lido 1

Rhyl 1

Brickfield Rangers 0

Llantwit Major 1

Cwmbran Town 2

Llanelli 3

Haverfordwest 0

Aberystwyth 0

Barry Town 5

Caldicot 0

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2

Gresford 9

Llanrug 0

Cardiff Metropolitan University 5

Taffs Well 1

Mold Alexandra 1

TNS 2

Newtown 0

Caernarfon 3

Llannefydd 1

Penrhyncoch 2

Llwydcoed 2

Treowen 5

Pontypridd United 3

Cefn Cribwr 1

Carmarthen Town 5

Trethomas Bluebirds 1

Kinmel Bay 0

Colwyn Bay 5

Goytre Utd 0

Cambrian United 6

Briton Ferry 0

Penybont 5

Bow Street 0

Flint Town 3

Holyhead 2

Airbus UK Broughton FC 5

Garden Village 2

Glynneath Town 4

Broughton Utd 0

Trearddur Bay 6

Newport City 3

Penygraig Utd 1

Blaenavon Blues 4

Pontyclun FC 2

Bangor 1876 2

Guilsfield 1

Holywell Town FC 3

Rhostyllen 2

Dinas Powys 1

Cardiff Draconians 3

Pure Swansea 1

Trefelin 6

Caersws FC 0

Dolgellau Athletic 1

Caerau Ely 3

Morriston Town 0

Llandudno FC 3

Flint Mountain 0

Bala 0

Connahs Q. 3

1/16-finals

Porthmadog 3

Port Talbot 2

Rhyl 3

Cwmbran Town 2

Llanelli 0

Barry Town 6

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0

Gresford 3

Cardiff Metropolitan University 2

TNS 1

Caernarfon 4

Penrhyncoch 0

Treowen 1

Pontypridd United 2

Carmarthen Town 1

Colwyn Bay 3

Cambrian United 1

Penybont 3

Flint Town 1

Airbus UK Broughton FC 0

Glynneath Town 2

Trearddur Bay 5

Newport City 3

Blaenavon Blues 2

Bangor 1876 2

Holywell Town FC 1

Cardiff Draconians 3

Trefelin 4

Dolgellau Athletic 0

Caerau Ely 2

Llandudno FC 2

Connahs Q. 1

1/8-finals

Porthmadog 1

Rhyl 2

Barry Town 4

Gresford 0

Cardiff Metropolitan University 2

Caernarfon 4

Pontypridd United 0

Colwyn Bay 3

Penybont 0

Flint Town 1

Trearddur Bay 5

Newport City 3

Bangor 1876 2

Trefelin 0

Caerau Ely 2

Llandudno FC 1

Quarter-finals

Rhyl 2

Barry Town 1

Caernarfon 4

Colwyn Bay 1

Flint Town 3

Trearddur Bay 0

Bangor 1876 3

Caerau Ely 1

Semi-finals

Rhyl 1

Caernarfon 2

Flint Town 5

Bangor 1876 1

Final

Caernarfon 3

Flint Town 0

Pure Swansea vs Trefelin Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales

Pure Swansea

Trefelin

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Pure Swansea

Trefelin

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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