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Stadium Background

Purmersteijn vs HVV Hollandia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Purmersteijn host HVV Hollandia in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Purmersteijn at 1.59 goals for, 2 against; HVV Hollandia at 1.46 for, 2.23 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.50) point toward Purmersteijn. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Purmersteijn
15%
Draws
20%
HVV Hollandia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Purmersteijn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Purmersteijn have won more games recently than HVV Hollandia.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Purmersteijn taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 16%
HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Purmersteijn HVV Hollandia
Matches Played 17 26
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.46
Goals Conceded 2 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Purmersteijn 84 / 100
HVV Hollandia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Purmersteijn HVV Hollandia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Purmersteijn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HVV Hollandia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

Purmersteijn found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).

Purmersteijn went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

HVV Hollandia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Purmersteijn VS HVV Hollandia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Purmersteijn

(Home)
17 Oct
Purmersteijn
3 : 0
Sparta Nijkerk
10 Oct
ACV Assen
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 4

HVV Hollandia

(Away)
17 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 1
HVV Hollandia
10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Staphorst
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3
USV Hercules
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1
HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Sportlust
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harkemase Boys 11 8 2 1 24:14 26
2 ACV Assen 11 7 3 1 27:11 24
3 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
4 Excelsior 31 11 7 1 3 28:13 22
5 Genemuiden 11 7 1 3 24:17 22
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 11 5 2 4 24:21 17
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 11 4 2 5 21:23 14
11 VV Hoogeveen 11 4 1 6 24:25 13
12 USV Hercules 11 4 1 6 16:23 13
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 11 2 3 6 17:22 9
15 Staphorst 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
16 VV DOVO 11 1 3 7 13:26 6
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 11 0 1 10 12:32 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 11 9 1 1 25:4 28
2 Lisse 11 9 1 1 26:8 28
3 Excelsior Maassluis 11 8 2 1 22:7 26
4 Rijnvogels 11 7 2 2 29:13 23
5 RKSV UDI 19 11 6 2 3 22:12 20
6 VV Zwaluwen 11 6 1 4 15:16 19
7 SV Poortugaal 11 6 0 5 15:16 18
8 Dongen 11 5 1 5 24:25 16
9 GOES 11 4 2 5 21:28 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 TOGB 11 3 3 5 19:25 12
13 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 11 2 2 7 15:25 8
17 Achilles Veen 11 2 0 9 9:26 6
18 EVV 11 0 3 8 11:24 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)