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Purmersteijn vs VV DOVO - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV DOVO in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV DOVO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Purmersteijn
15%
Draws
0%
VV DOVO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Purmersteijn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VV DOVO lately — more wins on the board than Purmersteijn.
  • Purmersteijn are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 20%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Purmersteijn VV DOVO
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
Purmersteijn vs VV DOVO
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Purmersteijn 85 / 100
VV DOVO 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Purmersteijn VV DOVO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Purmersteijn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV DOVO has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: VV DOVO has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Purmersteijn scored in 73% of their last 15 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Purmersteijn VS VV DOVO
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Purmersteijn

(Home)
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 3

VV DOVO

(Away)
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3
ADO 20 Heemskerk
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 1
VV DOVO
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4
VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)