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Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Pancho Arena, Felcsút
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puskas Academy host MTK Budapest in the NB I.. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Puskas Academy have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against MTK Budapest's 1.67 scored and 1.6 conceded. Head-to-head, Puskas Academy have won 1 to MTK Budapest's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.38) point toward Puskas Academy. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Puskas Academy
15%
Draws
28%
MTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puskas Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puskas Academy come out ahead of MTK Budapest on wins alone.
  • Model gives Puskas Academy a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Puskas Academy Clean Sheet 17%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puskas Academy MTK Budapest
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.54 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy
2:3
May 15, 2026 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puskas Academy 84 / 100
MTK Budapest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puskas Academy MTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puskas Academy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Puskas Academy found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: MTK Budapest conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Puskas Academy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puskas Academy VS MTK Budapest
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Puskas Academy

(Home)
17 Oct
Ujpest
0 : 1
Puskas Academy
11 Oct
Gyor
0 : 1
Puskas Academy
01 Oct
Dun. Streda
2 : 1
Puskas Academy
18 Sept
Puskas Academy
3 : 1
Honved
13 Sept
Mezoors
1 : 8
Puskas Academy
Page 1 of 6

MTK Budapest

(Away)
16 Oct
MTK Budapest
1 : 0
Vasas
10 Oct
Paks
3 : 0
MTK Budapest
20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 10 7 0 3 15:10 21
2 Gyor 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
3 Vasas 10 4 3 3 18:13 15
4 Ujpest 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
5 Paks 10 4 2 4 20:19 14
6 Ferencvaros 9 3 5 1 13:10 14
7 Debrecen 10 3 4 3 16:16 13
8 MTK Budapest 10 3 3 4 16:17 12
9 Kisvarda FC 10 2 5 3 11:12 11
10 Honved 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
11 Zalaegerszegi 10 3 0 7 12:21 9
12 Nyiregyhaza 10 2 2 6 10:20 8
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)