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Pusta Reka vs Trepca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Serbian Cup 2024/2025
Wed, Sep 11, 2024
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trepca in this Serbian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pusta Reka
25%
Draws
35%
Trepca
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pusta Reka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Trepca have won more games recently than Pusta Reka.
  • Model gives Pusta Reka a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Trepca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Trepca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pusta Reka Clean Sheet 19%
Trepca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pusta Reka Trepca
Matches Played 1 30
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 20
Goals Scored 1 0.67
Goals Conceded 2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2024 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Pusta Reka vs Trepca
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pusta Reka 76 / 100
Trepca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pusta Reka Trepca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pusta Reka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pusta Reka's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

Trepca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Trepca has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pusta Reka VS Trepca
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pusta Reka

(Home)
11 Sept
Pusta Reka
1 : 2
Trepca

Trepca

(Away)
30 Oct
Trepca
0 : 6
Radnicki Nis
11 Sept
Pusta Reka
1 : 2
Trepca
04 Jun
Trepca
0 : 2
Real Podunavci
29 May
Sloga Kraljevo
0 : 1
Trepca
21 May
Trepca
2 : 1
Smederevo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tekstilac Odzaci -
TBD -
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Vozdovac -
Smederevo -
TBD -
TBD -
Novi Pazar -
Indjija -
TBD -
TBD -
Radnicki 1923 -
Sloboda -
TBD -
TBD -
Napredak -
Zemun 3
Kolubara 1
TBD -
Javor -
Dubocica -
TBD -
TBD -
Mladost Lucani -
Macva Sabac -
TBD -
TBD -
IMT Novi Beograd -
Jedinstvo Ub -
TBD -
TBD -
Cukaricki -
Trepca 2
Pusta Reka 1
TBD -
Radnicki Nis -
Radnicki S. Mitrovica -
TBD -
TBD -
Vojvodina -
Graficar Beograd -
TBD -
TBD -
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
FAP 2
Metalac 1
TBD -
Radnik Surdulica -
Mladost GAT 1
Usce 0
TBD -
Partizan -
Vrsac -
TBD -
TBD -
TSC Backa Topola -
RFK Novi Sad 3
Hajduk Divos 2
TBD -
Spartak Subotica -
1/16-finals
Tekstilac Odzaci 0
Crvena zvezda 7
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 3
FK Vozdovac 2
Smederevo 1
Novi Pazar 3
Indjija 0
Radnicki 1923 1
Sloboda 2
Napredak 3
Zemun 1
Javor 2
Dubocica 0
Mladost Lucani 2
Macva Sabac 0
IMT Novi Beograd 1
Jedinstvo Ub 0
Cukaricki 1
Trepca 0
Radnicki Nis 6
Radnicki S. Mitrovica 0
Vojvodina 1
Graficar Beograd 2
Zeleznicar Pancevo 1
FAP 2
Radnik Surdulica 3
Mladost GAT 0
Partizan 3
Vrsac 1
TSC Backa Topola 2
RFK Novi Sad 1
Spartak Subotica 2
1/8-finals
Crvena zvezda 5
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 3
Novi Pazar 2
Radnicki 1923 0
Napredak 1
Javor 0
Mladost Lucani 1
IMT Novi Beograd 2
Cukaricki 0
Radnicki Nis 2
Vojvodina 3
Graficar Beograd 1
Radnik Surdulica 0
Partizan 3
TSC Backa Topola 2
Spartak Subotica 1
Quarter-finals
Crvena zvezda 2
Novi Pazar 1
Napredak 2
IMT Novi Beograd 1
Radnicki Nis 0
Vojvodina 1
Partizan 0
TSC Backa Topola 1
Semi-finals
Crvena zvezda 4
Napredak 2
Vojvodina 2
TSC Backa Topola 0
Final
Crvena zvezda 3
Vojvodina 0