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Puszcza vs Jaroslaw Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Iwao K.
62' Event
Barkovskiy G.
81' Event
Trialist

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Puszcza and Jaroslaw finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puszcza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Puszcza
15%
Draws
53%
Jaroslaw
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaroslaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaroslaw's 2.31 goals per match outpaces what Puszcza have produced (1.3).
  • Win probability leans Jaroslaw's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 10%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puszcza Jaroslaw
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.3 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Puszcza vs Jaroslaw
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Puszcza vs Jaroslaw
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puszcza Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwao K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barkovskiy G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Jaroslaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puszcza 26 / 100
Jaroslaw 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puszcza Jaroslaw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaroslaw Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaroslaw's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

Puszcza found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Puszcza remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puszcza VS Jaroslaw
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Puszcza

(Home)
02 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
4 : 3
Puszcza
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2
Puszcza
29 Aug
Puszcza
2 : 0
Podbeskidzie
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Jaroslaw

(Away)
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2
Korona Kielce II
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0
Star Starachowice
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