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Puteolana Internapoli vs Sarrabus Ogliastra

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Russo F.
54' Event
Mascari A.
62' Event
Calabrese A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Puteolana Internapoli and Sarrabus Ogliastra finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Puteolana Internapoli
44%
Draws
20%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarrabus Ogliastra come out ahead of Puteolana Internapoli on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Puteolana Internapoli have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Puteolana Internapoli Clean Sheet 24%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puteolana Internapoli Sarrabus Ogliastra
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Puteolana Internapoli vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
3:3
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Puteolana Internapoli
0:3
Jan 11, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Puteolana Internapoli vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puteolana Internapoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mascari A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Top Goalscorer Calabrese A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Romano G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puteolana Internapoli 37 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puteolana Internapoli Sarrabus Ogliastra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Puteolana Internapoli scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sarrabus Ogliastra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 37 matches.

Puteolana Internapoli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Puteolana Internapoli

(Home)
03 May
Terracina
1 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
27 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
1 : 1
Cassino
17 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 4
Guidonia 1937
13 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 2
Puteolana Internapoli
06 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
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Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Away)
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Olbia
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 1
Budoni Calcio
02 Apr
Cassino
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guidonia 193734209559:2569
2Gelbison341810657:3764
3Sarnese34188854:3762
4Cassino341513640:2558
5A.C. Savoia34169945:3357
6Paganese341511841:2856
7Cynthialbalonga341561349:4251
8Puteolana Internapoli3413111048:4250
9Trastevere Calcio341281452:5544
10Olbia341191446:5042
11Latte Dolce341181552:5741
12Anzio Calcio 19243410101439:5740
13Atl. Lodigiani349111439:4938
14Real Monterotondo341081634:3938
15Ilvamaddalena341081639:4138
16Sarrabus Ogliastra34891735:5633
17Atletico Uri346111733:5329
18Terracina34592027:6324
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)