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PVF-CAND vs Binh Duong

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 PVF Stadium, Văn Giang
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mac Quan Hong
46'
Sub
Do Van Thuan In: Van H.
Out: Do Van Thuan
46'
Sub
Mpande J. In: Thai Ba Dat
Out: Mpande J.

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between PVF-CAND and Binh Duong finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
PVF-CAND
20%
Draws
45%
Binh Duong
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Binh Duong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binh Duong come out ahead of PVF-CAND on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Binh Duong's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
PVF-CAND Clean Sheet 23%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PVF-CAND Binh Duong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 V.League 1
PVF-CAND vs Binh Duong
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs PVF-CAND
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PVF-CAND Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Thanh Nhan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Binh Duong Compare

Top Goalscorer Mac Quan Hong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PVF-CAND 16 / 100
Binh Duong 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PVF-CAND Binh Duong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binh Duong Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binh Duong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: PVF-CAND scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: PVF-CAND stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PVF-CAND VS Binh Duong
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PVF-CAND

(Home)
11 Sept
PVF-CAND
2 : 1
Long An
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
07 Jun
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 3
PVF-CAND
31 May
PVF-CAND
3 : 1
Hai Phong
22 May
Viettel
1 : 1
PVF-CAND
Page 1 of 6

Binh Duong

(Away)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
13 Sept
Van Hien
0 : 0
Binh Duong
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
16 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Aurora Saigon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)