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PVV vs Inter Moengotapoe

Suriname Suriname

SML 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PVV in this SML 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PVV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
PVV
20%
Draws
22%
Inter Moengotapoe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PVV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • PVV haven't matched Inter Moengotapoe's recent run of results.
  • PVV are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
PVV Clean Sheet 14%
Inter Moengotapoe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PVV Inter Moengotapoe
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 SML
PVV vs Inter Moengotapoe
1:2
May 30, 2025 SML
Inter Moengotapoe vs PVV
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 SML
PVV vs Inter Moengotapoe
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 SML
Inter Moengotapoe vs PVV
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 SML
PVV vs Inter Moengotapoe
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PVV 48 / 100
Inter Moengotapoe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PVV Inter Moengotapoe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PVV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PVV found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Inter Moengotapoe has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

PVV went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Inter Moengotapoe
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

PVV

(Home)
12 Jul
PVV
1 : 2
Inter Moengotapoe
09 Jul
PVV
1 : 0
Robinhood
06 Jul
Robinhood
1 : 1
PVV
02 Jul
PVV
1 : 1
Notch
29 Jun
Notch
1 : 4
PVV
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Inter Moengotapoe

(Away)
24 May
Inter Moengotapoe
2 : 4
Leo Victor
20 May
Inter Moengotapoe
0 : 3
Robinhood
17 May
Robinhood
1 : 0
Inter Moengotapoe
13 May
Voorwaarts
2 : 1
Inter Moengotapoe
10 May
Inter Moengotapoe
2 : 1
Voorwaarts
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Robinhood 18 12 6 0 49:16 42
2 SV Transvaal 18 11 4 3 26:10 37
3 Voorwaarts 18 11 1 6 32:20 34
4 PVV 18 9 4 5 36:19 31
5 Inter Moengotapoe 18 8 6 4 36:26 30
6 Notch 18 8 6 4 27:25 30
7 Inter Wanica 18 4 4 10 17:39 16
8 Leo Victor 18 3 4 11 17:27 13
9 Flora 18 3 3 12 23:43 12
10 Broki 18 2 0 16 17:55 6
Promotion - SML 2025 (Play Offs)