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PVV vs Notch

Suriname Suriname

SML 2025
1 - 2
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notch in this SML 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
PVV
20%
Draws
22%
Notch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PVV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • PVV have won more games recently than Notch.
  • Win probability leans PVV's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
PVV Clean Sheet 68%
Notch Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PVV Notch
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 SML
PVV vs Notch
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 SML
Notch vs PVV
1:4
Apr 13, 2025 SML
PVV vs Notch
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 SML
Notch vs PVV
1:1
May 26, 2024 SML
Notch vs PVV
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PVV 95 / 100
Notch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PVV Notch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PVV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PVV found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Notch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

PVV went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Notch
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PVV

(Home)
12 Jul
PVV
1 : 2
Inter Moengotapoe
09 Jul
PVV
1 : 0
Robinhood
06 Jul
Robinhood
1 : 1
PVV
02 Jul
PVV
1 : 1
Notch
29 Jun
Notch
1 : 4
PVV
Page 1 of 6

Notch

(Away)
26 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Inter Wanica
23 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Broki
19 Apr
Notch
0 : 1
SV Transvaal
04 Apr
Leo Victor
2 : 1
Notch
29 Mar
Flora
0 : 1
Notch
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Robinhood 18 12 6 0 49:16 42
2 SV Transvaal 18 11 4 3 26:10 37
3 Voorwaarts 18 11 1 6 32:20 34
4 PVV 18 9 4 5 36:19 31
5 Inter Moengotapoe 18 8 6 4 36:26 30
6 Notch 18 8 6 4 27:25 30
7 Inter Wanica 18 4 4 10 17:39 16
8 Leo Victor 18 3 4 11 17:27 13
9 Flora 18 3 3 12 23:43 12
10 Broki 18 2 0 16 17:55 6
Promotion - SML 2025 (Play Offs)