Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Connahs Q. in this FA Cup 2010/2011 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Connahs Q.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Connahs Q. have won more games recently than Pwllheli.
- Model gives Connahs Q. a 73% chance of winning this.
- Connahs Q. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Connahs Q., who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Pwllheli Clean Sheet 14%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pwllheli | Connahs Q. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 1 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.47 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2010 FAW Welsh Cup
Pwllheli vs Connahs Q.
1:6
Oct 3, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Connahs Q. vs Pwllheli
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pwllheli 10 / 100
Connahs Q. 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pwllheli Connahs Q.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Pwllheli scored in 67% of their last 15 games.
Connahs Q. let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Pwllheli went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pwllheli VS Connahs Q.
0 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pwllheli
(Home) 11 Jul
Pwllheli
0 : 2 Llandudno FC
20 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 3 Rhyl
22 Jun
Pwllheli
1 : 1 Bala
16 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 2 Felinheli
20 Oct
Pwllheli
0 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3
11 Jul
Pwllheli
0 : 2 Llandudno FC
20 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 3 Rhyl
22 Jun
Pwllheli
1 : 1 Bala
16 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 2 Felinheli
20 Oct
Pwllheli
0 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 2
Connahs Q.
(Away) 12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
28 Aug
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Cambrian United
22 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 2 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
22 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 2 Connahs Q.
07 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Connahs Q.
16 Jul
FC Ballkani
3 : 2 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Gwalchmai 1
Port Talbot 4
Caersws FC 4
Llanidloes Town 2
Bangor City 2
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Haverfordwest 3
Holyhead 2
Goytre Utd 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Connahs Q. 5
AFC Porth 3
Bow Street 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Porthmadog 0
Bala 1
Aberaman 0
Cefn Druids 4
Llanelli 1
Aberystwyth 0
Guilsfield 1
Rhos Aelwyd 2
Cambrian United 2
Prestatyn 3
Neath Athletic 1
Rhyl 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 3
Corus Steel 0
Grange Harlequins 2
Newtown 1
Bridgend Town 2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot 3
Caersws FC 0
Bangor City 5
Haverfordwest 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Connahs Q. 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Bala 1
Cefn Druids 1
Llanelli 4
Rhos Aelwyd 1
Prestatyn 6
Rhyl 1
TNS 2
Grange Harlequins 1
Bridgend Town 0
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot 0
Bangor City 3
Connahs Q. 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Llanelli 1
Prestatyn 0
TNS 2
Grange Harlequins 0
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
Connahs Q. 0
Llanelli 1
TNS 0
Final
Bangor City 1
Llanelli 4
