Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Pyrgos

1 - 0

Aris Petroupolis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pyrgos in this Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pyrgos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Pyrgos

20%

Draws

51%

Aris Petroupolis

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Aris Petroupolis have won more games recently than Pyrgos.
Win probability leans Aris Petroupolis's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Pyrgos Clean Sheet 23%

Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pyrgos	Aris Petroupolis
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	18	19
Draws	4	7
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	1.76	1.43
Goals Conceded	0.83	0.53
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Aris Petroupolis vs Pyrgos

1:2

May 3, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Pyrgos vs Aris Petroupolis

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyrgos 24 / 100

Aris Petroupolis 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pyrgos Aris Petroupolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Petroupolis Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pyrgos's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Aris Petroupolis has conceded goals in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Pyrgos has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pyrgos VS Aris Petroupolis

1.5 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 25%

50% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pyrgos

(Home)

21 Sept

Pyrgos

0 : 4

AEL Larissa

13 Sept

Chrisoupolis

1 : 0

Pyrgos

05 Sept

Panthrakikos

0 : 0

Pyrgos

18 Aug

Atromitos

3 : 1

Pyrgos

17 May

Aris Petroupolis

1 : 2

Pyrgos

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Aris Petroupolis

(Away)

17 May

Aris Petroupolis

1 : 2

Pyrgos

13 May

Zakynthos

1 : 1

Aris Petroupolis

10 May

Aris Petroupolis

1 : 0

Ethnikos Piraeus

03 May

Pyrgos

1 : 0

Aris Petroupolis

29 Apr

Aris Petroupolis

1 : 0

Zakynthos

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