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Qala Saints vs Santa Lucia Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2014/2015
Sat, Sep 6, 2014
2 - 3
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Santa Lucia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Qala Saints
30%
Draws
42%
Santa Lucia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Lucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Qala Saints haven't matched Santa Lucia's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Santa Lucia taking it.
  • Santa Lucia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Lucia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Qala Saints Clean Sheet 15%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qala Saints Santa Lucia
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 0 12
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2014 FA Trophy
Qala Saints vs Santa Lucia
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qala Saints 19 / 100
Santa Lucia 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qala Saints Santa Lucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Lucia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Lucia let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Qala Saints scored in 59% of their last 17 games.

Solid form: Qala Saints remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Qala Saints VS Santa Lucia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Qala Saints

(Home)
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Qala Saints
0 : 2
Mgarr
06 Dec
Zebbug
0 : 5
Qala Saints
04 Feb
Qala Saints
0 : 3
Hibernians
12 Jan
Qala Saints
2 : 0
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 4

Santa Lucia

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Vittoriosa
19 Apr
Mtarfa
1 : 5
Santa Lucia
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
06 Apr
Mgarr
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Siggiewi -
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mgarr 1
Kalkara 4
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Attard 0
Kercem Ajax 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 2
Marsaskala FC 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Qrendi 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Mtarfa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Lija -
TBD -
Luqa 3
Oratory 4
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 3
Munxar 0
Xewkija 0
Kirkop 1
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Santa Lucia 3
Qala Saints 2
TBD -
Zabbar -
Nadur 5
Xaghra 0
TBD -
Fgura -
St. Lawrence 2
Mdina 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 2
Hamrun 3
Zurrieq 2
Dingli Swallows 1
Xghajra 1
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pembroke 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 2
Senglea 3
Swieqi 7
Kalkara 0
Ghaxaq 0
Gzira 8
Melita 1
Zejtun 0
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Birzebbuga 3
Kercem Ajax 2
TBD -
Valletta -
Qormi -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Qrendi 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 4
Mtarfa 0
TBD -
Tarxien -
Lija 7
Oratory 0
San Gwann 1
Sirens 2
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 0
Kirkop 2
Msida 4
Marsa 1
Santa Lucia 1
Zabbar 2
Nadur 2
Fgura 1
St. Lawrence 1
Gharghur 2
St. George's FC 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 7
Hamrun 1
Zurrieq 2
Siggiewi 5
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Zebbug 0
Pembroke 0
Pieta 1
Mosta FC 6
Senglea 1
Swieqi 0
Gzira 6
Melita 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Birzebbuga 1
Valletta 7
Qormi 3
Qrendi 0
Sliema 0
Floriana 1
Gudja 3
Tarxien 0
Lija 0
Sirens 1
Balzan FC 2
Kirkop 0
Msida 1
Zabbar 2
Nadur 4
Gharghur 1
St. George's FC 0
Hibernians 2
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 3
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Pieta 1
Mosta FC 4
Gzira 1
Melita 0
Valletta 2
Qormi 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 0
Sirens 6
Balzan FC 6
Zabbar 0
Nadur 1
Hibernians 3
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Valletta 3
Qormi 7
Sirens 0
Balzan FC 1
Hibernians 2
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 0
Qormi 0
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 2
Hibernians 0