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Qalali vs Sitra

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
(Penalty)
43' Event
62' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Qalali
20%
Draws
80%
Sitra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Qalali come out ahead of Sitra on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Sitra taking it.
  • Qalali have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sitra, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sitra have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Qalali Clean Sheet 20%
Sitra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qalali Sitra
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Qalali vs Sitra
2:2
Sep 1, 2016 Bahrain Cup
Sitra vs Qalali
4:2
Apr 27, 2009 Premier League
Qalali vs Sitra
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qalali 10 / 100
Sitra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qalali Sitra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sitra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Qalali's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sitra conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sitra
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qalali

(Home)
24 Jan
Al-Hala
3 : 0
Qalali
17 Jan
Busaiteen
2 : 0
Qalali
13 Jan
Qalali
2 : 7
Al-Ahli
08 Dec
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Qalali
18 Nov
Al-Muharraq
8 : 0
Qalali
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Sitra

(Away)
12 Sept
Sitra
0 : 0
Al-Hidd
02 Sept
East Riffa
0 : 0
Sitra
27 Aug
Sitra
3 : 0
Malkia
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
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