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Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Shamakhi 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2020/2021 game between Qarabag Agdam 2 and Shamakhi 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Qarabag Agdam 2
11%
Draws
9%
Shamakhi 2
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Qarabag Agdam 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamakhi 2 come out ahead of Qarabag Agdam 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Qarabag Agdam 2 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Shamakhi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam 2 Shamakhi 2
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2023 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Shamakhi 2
5:0
Nov 2, 2022 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Qarabag Agdam 2
4:2
Mar 16, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Shamakhi 2
0:1
Oct 19, 2021 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Qarabag Agdam 2
1:2
May 6, 2021 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Shamakhi 2
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 2 76 / 100
Shamakhi 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam 2 Shamakhi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamakhi 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Qarabag Agdam 2's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Qarabag Agdam 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qarabag Agdam 2 VS Shamakhi 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
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Shamakhi 2

(Away)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
25 Apr
Shamakhi 2
2 : 1
Imisli FK
18 Apr
Qarabag Agdam 2
5 : 0
Shamakhi 2
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