Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League Tofiq Bahramov Stadium

Qarabag Agdam

3 - 0

Imisli FK

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Matheus Silva

42'

Juninho

46'

Sub

Matheus Silva In: Kashchuk O.

Out: Matheus Silva

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Qarabag Agdam in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Qarabag Agdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Qarabag Agdam

17%

Draws

13%

Imisli FK

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Qarabag Agdam lately — more wins on the board than Imisli FK.
Model gives Qarabag Agdam a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Qarabag Agdam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 68%

Imisli FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Qarabag Agdam	Imisli FK
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	16	6
Draws	6	12
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	2.13	0.57
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League

Qarabag Agdam vs Imisli FK

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League

Imisli FK vs Qarabag Agdam

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Oct 31, 2025 Premier League

Qarabag Agdam vs Imisli FK

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

May 22, 2007 Premier League

Qarabag Agdam vs Imisli FK

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Dec 7, 2006 Premier League

Imisli FK vs Qarabag Agdam

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qarabag Agdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zoubir A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Imisli FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 77 / 100

Imisli FK 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Qarabag Agdam Imisli FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Qarabag Agdam scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Imisli FK let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Qarabag Agdam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qarabag Agdam VS Imisli FK

2.13 Goals Scored 0.57

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.86

88% Over 1.5 43%

75% Over 2.5 14%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sabah Baku	33	24	6	3	75:25	78
2	Qarabag Agdam	33	21	6	6	71:27	69
3	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	59
4	Neftci Baku	33	16	11	6	57:32	59
5	Zira FK	33	13	14	6	43:36	53
6	Araz PFK	33	13	7	13	44:58	46
7	SumQayit FK	33	12	5	16	45:49	41
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	31:40	38
9	Imisli FK	33	7	13	13	23:43	34
10	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	27
11	Gabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	27
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	23:66	15