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Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Qatar SC Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Diaz F.
20'
Djalo A.
21'
Russo F.

AI Match Summary

Qatar SC in this QSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Qatar SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Qatar SC
35%
Draws
16%
Al-Gharafa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Qatar SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Gharafa lately — more wins on the board than Qatar SC.
  • Model gives Qatar SC a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar SC Al-Gharafa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.33
Goals Conceded 2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa
2:0
Jan 19, 2026 QSL Cup
Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa
3:2
Nov 7, 2025 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC
4:2
Sep 22, 2024 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Battat M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Gharafa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar SC 40 / 100
Al-Gharafa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar SC Al-Gharafa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qatar SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Gharafa has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Qatar SC scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Qatar SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qatar SC VS Al-Gharafa
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar SC

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
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Al-Gharafa

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
27 Aug
Al-Gharafa
1 : 3
Shamal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)